Predicting Airport ATFM Regulations using Deep Convolutional Neural Networks
Paper ID
SIDs-2022-082
Conference
SESAR Innovation Days
Year
2022
Theme
Machine Learning I
Project Name
CRONOS, SESAR 2020 IR Wave 2 project PJ04-W2 TAM
Keywords:
Airport, ATFM Delays, ATFM Regulations, Convolutional neural networks, Time series
Authors
Olivier Lattrez, Rocío Barragán Montes and Mateusz Michalski
DOI
–
Project Number
874472
Abstract
Airport ATFM regulations are a source of inefficiencies in European aviation. Providing a timely and accurate regulation prediction to the NMOC will contribute to better situational awareness. It will allow to anticipate collateral issues and help to coordinate preventive measures that can avoid ATFM regulations from being implemented. In this paper, a Deep Convolutional Neural Network that was trained to predict the probability of an ATFM regulation at the airport level is presented. The model, which showed promising results, has been put in operation in trial mode since the summer of 2022 and has been providing valuable insights during the pre-tactical and tactical phases on a daily basis.